Monday, August 25, 2008

Stocks for the week of Aug 25

Here is the list for the week of August 25. These are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ARO 1111A+
RIMM111 1A+
FLIR111 1A
AXYS 12 1A+
BUCY 11 1A+
CELG1 1 1A+
CF 11 1A+
FSLR112  A+
HAL 11 1A+
NOV 11 1A+
URBN 11 1A+
WAB 11 1A+
ACI 11 1A
BTU 11 1A
ESV 11 1A
JOYG 11 1A
MON 11 1A
SOHU111  A
VMI 11 1A
XLNX 11 1A
BWLD  211A-
EZPW111  A-

CSX and KWK are off the core list. (And I so liked trains, but it looks like CSX and Wabtec are trading places.)

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
ESV10Earn 23-Oct
HAL10Earn 20-Oct
RIMM10Earn 25-Sep
JOYG9Earn 3-Sep
MOS8Earn 3-Oct
MON8Earn 8-Oct
XLNX8Earn 15-Oct
ARO7Earn 21-Aug
GDI6Earn 22-Oct
RIG6Earn 5-Nov
VMI5Earn 15-Oct

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

My friend, Patrick, stumbled on this blog, and asked me that great question: why? Great question. Since he's a writer, I answered his question in terms of voice and audience. I am writing this blog because the act of writing helps me channel and direct the conflicting thoughts that I have about the markets. Also, Karen thought that the discipline of a blog would help me keep on a regular schedule of publishing these filters. (It has done so.) I also use the blog to take a position, take responsibility for the position, and admit when I have made a mistake. I believe that recognizing one's mistakes is one of the essential qualities of a successful trader. (And by the way, have a great school year teaching AP Literature, Patrick.)

There's also the possibility that a handful of you are using the core list and finding it useful. I believe that the core list will provide a handful of stocks that will tend to go up in the short-term (say, twenty to sixty days), when combined with your market brain (that is, your beliefs, skills, and timing). That's a good thing.

Darn, I missed I.O.U.S.A last week. Maybe it'll come back to the movie theaters, or maybe I'll have to wait for the DVD. Josiah and I moved a half-ton of solar panels and equipment, and my main thought was to sitting down when I got home, not going out to the movies.

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has remains at a negative two-and-a-half an inflation star ("deflation"), because the CRB, the XLB, and gold all moved under their 6-month historical value. I had to reset my Excel formula because the "deflation" is the lowest it gets. (Now I have a "deflation 2" and a "deflation 3," but it's all deflationary.)

Enjoy your trading this week.

1 comment:

Kyle said...

Add my congrats as well, Patrick!

As for me, I confess I skip most of the stock-picking parts.