Thursday, May 28, 2009

Stocks for May 25

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters for the week of May 25.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ARO 11 199
GMCR1 1 199
HMSY111  98
PNRA 11 196
CPSI 11 193
ORCL 11 188
IBM 11 186


COCO has fallen off the core list this week.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
PNRA8Earn 28-Jul
HMSY7 
TNDM6 
ARO6Earn 20-Aug

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The S&P 500 is again in a cautious Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has dropped from three stars to two ("some inflation risk").

I went to the Charlotte Motor Speedway last Saturday at the invitation of John B. Josh and I were the only ones in the van not wearing scout uniforms. The Dollar General 300 was rain delayed but fun, and although we had to leave early, we missed the downpour that cancelled the end of the race.

Have a good week trading.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Stocks for May 18

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters for the week of May 18.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ARO 11 199
BWLD 11 199
CMG 11 199
GMCR1 1 199
NFLX 11 199
TNDM111  99
TXRH 11 199
IBM 11 188


I welcome ARO back to the core list. There are a bunch of stocks that fell off the core list this week: apol, bcr, cai, cpsi, rmd, and stra.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
PNRA8Earn 28-Jul
HMSY6 
TNDM6 
COCO5 
ARO5Earn 21-May

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The S&P 500 is again in a cautious Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model remains at a dangerous-sounding three stars ("inflation danger"). It is starting to sound ominous.

I am looking at the VIX, as it drops to a high-but-somewhat-normal 33. The VIX, you will recall, is a measure of the anxiety that the markets are exhibiting. It is calculated by using the option premiums of a stock index. Its drop may indicate that the markets are sanguine with the rise and do not anticipate a fall. Of course, for a perpetual bear such as me, it makes sense to buy puts now. Hey, don't listen to me. But you'd better take those newscasters with a grain of salt when they're calling out the end of the bear market.

Have a good week trading.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Stocks for 11 May 2009

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters for the week of May 11.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ARO 111199
BWLD 11 199
CMG 11 199
GMCR1 1 199
NFLX 11 199
TNDM111  99
IBM 11 186


TNDM is new to the core list. Neutral Tandem links up competitive wireless, wired, and cable telephone companies. It puts them in tandem so that your data or phone call can get from one end of the tin can through the other.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
PNRA9Earn 28-Jul
COCO6 
HMSY6 
BCR5 
CPSI5 
RMD5Earn 7-May
APOL5 
CAI5 
STRA5 
TNDM5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The S&P 500 is again in a cautious Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has risen sharply to three stars ("inflation danger"), due to XLB rising above its two- and six-month numbers.

Much to my surprise, the market rose 4.4% last week, an astonishingly strong performance. The question in my mind is whether it is a new trend or a bear market rally. It may have put in a double top, which would make shorting more attractive, but this could be wishful thinking on my part. I think I should like to wait for the Exponential Moving Average on the stocks to turn down.

Have a good week trading.

Wednesday, May 6, 2009

Stocks for the week of May 4

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters for the week of May 4.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ARO 111199
MYGN111 191
BWLD 11 199
CMG 11 199
NFLX 11 199
TNDM111  99
SYNA1  1198
PNRA 11 197
IBM 11 188


There are no new stocks for the core list. CELG is off the core list.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
PNRA10Earn 28-Jul
COCO7 
BCR6 
CPSI6 
RMD6Earn 7-May
HMSY6 
APOL5 
CAI5 
STRA5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The S&P 500 is again in a cautious Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has fallen back to one-and-a-half stars ("mild or decreasing inflation"), as I had expected.

Turns out it was a great blessing to get the margin call from Fidelity. The S&P is at 900, at what would have been the lower (short) call. At least I closed out both positions with a profit.

Have a good week trading.