Monday, August 25, 2008

Stocks for the week of Aug 25

Here is the list for the week of August 25. These are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ARO 1111A+
RIMM111 1A+
FLIR111 1A
AXYS 12 1A+
BUCY 11 1A+
CELG1 1 1A+
CF 11 1A+
FSLR112  A+
HAL 11 1A+
NOV 11 1A+
URBN 11 1A+
WAB 11 1A+
ACI 11 1A
BTU 11 1A
ESV 11 1A
JOYG 11 1A
MON 11 1A
SOHU111  A
VMI 11 1A
XLNX 11 1A
BWLD  211A-
EZPW111  A-


CSX and KWK are off the core list. (And I so liked trains, but it looks like CSX and Wabtec are trading places.)

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
AXYS10 
ESV10Earn 23-Oct
HAL10Earn 20-Oct
NOV10 
RIMM10Earn 25-Sep
ACI9 
BUCY9 
JOYG9Earn 3-Sep
MOS8Earn 3-Oct
CF8 
MON8Earn 8-Oct
XLNX8Earn 15-Oct
ARO7Earn 21-Aug
FLIR7 
GDI6Earn 22-Oct
POT6 
RIG6Earn 5-Nov
WAB6 
FLR5 
VMI5Earn 15-Oct

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

My friend, Patrick, stumbled on this blog, and asked me that great question: why? Great question. Since he's a writer, I answered his question in terms of voice and audience. I am writing this blog because the act of writing helps me channel and direct the conflicting thoughts that I have about the markets. Also, Karen thought that the discipline of a blog would help me keep on a regular schedule of publishing these filters. (It has done so.) I also use the blog to take a position, take responsibility for the position, and admit when I have made a mistake. I believe that recognizing one's mistakes is one of the essential qualities of a successful trader. (And by the way, have a great school year teaching AP Literature, Patrick.)

There's also the possibility that a handful of you are using the core list and finding it useful. I believe that the core list will provide a handful of stocks that will tend to go up in the short-term (say, twenty to sixty days), when combined with your market brain (that is, your beliefs, skills, and timing). That's a good thing.

Darn, I missed I.O.U.S.A last week. Maybe it'll come back to the movie theaters, or maybe I'll have to wait for the DVD. Josiah and I moved a half-ton of solar panels and equipment, and my main thought was to sitting down when I got home, not going out to the movies.

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has remains at a negative two-and-a-half an inflation star ("deflation"), because the CRB, the XLB, and gold all moved under their 6-month historical value. I had to reset my Excel formula because the "deflation" is the lowest it gets. (Now I have a "deflation 2" and a "deflation 3," but it's all deflationary.)

Enjoy your trading this week.

Monday, August 18, 2008

Stocks for 18 Aug

Here is the list for the week of August 18. One might observe that the number of stocks on the weekly list seem to be falling.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ARO 1111A+
RIMM111 1A+
FLIR111 1A
AXYS 12 1A+
FLS 11 1A+
FSLR112  A+
WAB 11 1A+
XLNX 11 1A+
BUCY 11 1A
CF 11 1A
HAL 11 1A
MON 11 1A
ACI 11 1A-
CAM1 1 1A-
ESV 11 1A-
NOV 11 1A-
SOHU111  A-


FTI and NBL are off the core list. Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (symbol WAB) is new. Also called Wabtec, WAB provides equipment and services for trains.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
AXYS10 
ESV10Earn 23-Oct
HAL10Earn 20-Oct
NOV10 
RIMM10Earn 25-Sep
JOYG9Earn 3-Sep
MOS9Earn 3-Oct
ACI9 
BUCY9 
CF8 
MON8Earn 8-Oct
XLNX8Earn 15-Oct
GDI7Earn 22-Oct
POT7 
RIG7Earn 5-Nov
FLR6 
ARO6Earn 21-Aug
FLIR6 
CSX5Earn 14-Oct
VMI5Earn 15-Oct
KWK5 
WAB5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

I don't usually plug movies, much less ones that have won awards at the Sundance Film Festival. However, I will make an exception for I.O.U.S.A, which you can find out more about from http://www.agorafinancial.com/iousa.html. It is playing one night, August 21, at a movie theatre near you.

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has remains at a negative half an inflation star ("deflation"), because the CRB, the XLB, and gold all moved under their 6-month historical value.

Enjoy your trading this week. And do stop in to see the movie, if you can; it will cost between $11 and $20 and will include the sage of Omaha (Warren Buffett) by teleconference, afterward.

Monday, August 4, 2008

Stocks for August 4, 2008

Here is the list for the week of August 4. It is comprised of stocks passing at least three of the five filters.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ARO 1111A+
FLIR111 1A+
RIMM111 1A+
AXYS 12 1A+
BUCY1 1 1A+
CF  111A+
EZPW111  A+
JOYG 11 1A+
MOS 11 1A+
NOV 11 1A+
WAB 11 1A+
X 111 A+
ACI 11 1A
BIDU111  A
ESV 11 1A
HAL 11 1A
MON 11 1A
PCLN 11 1A
RIG 11 1A-
SOHU111  A-
XLNX 11 1A-


BRY and MANT are off the core list. There are no new stocks on the core list.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
AXYS10 
HAL10Earn 20-Oct
JOYG10Earn 4-Sep
MOS10 
NOV10 
RIMM10Earn 25-Sep
POT9 
ACI9 
BUCY9 
MON9Earn 8-Oct
RIG9Earn 6-Aug
ESV9Earn 23-Oct
FLR8Earn 11-Aug
GDI8Earn 22-Oct
XLNX8 
CSX7Earn 14-Oct
VMI7Earn 15-Oct
CF7 
FTI6 
NBL6 
KWK5Earn 6-Aug
MA5 
SWN5 
ARO5Earn 21-Aug
NETL5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

I am continuing to read through Van Tharp's Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom. I am applying this to my search for a Forex system that will suit me well.

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. It has surprised me in its move to half a star in the inflation model ("decreasing Inflation"), because gold and XLB both moved under their 6-month historical value. Enjoy your trading this week, but keep your guard up.