Thursday, June 25, 2009

Stocks for June 22

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters for the week of Jun 22.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ARO 111199
CMG 11 199
FUQI111  99
GMCR1 1 199
HMSY111  99
NFLX 11 199
APSG 11 198
RIMM 11 198
TXRH 11 198
BWLD 11 196
WMS 11 196
IBM 11 189
DBRN 11 187


PNRA has fallen off the core list. TXRH is new to the list. Texas Roadhouse runs a chain of steakhouses. I am not sure why restaurants are still making the core list. Don't they know there's a recession going on?

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
ARO10Earn 20-Aug
TNDM8 
HMSY7Earm 31-Jul
BWLD7Earn 28-Jul
CMG7 
GMCR7Earn 28-Jul
IBM7Earn 16-Jul
NFLX7Earn 29-Jul
TXRH5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

With its fall below its 45-week moving average, the markets have slipped into Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. This means that it is a bad time to own stocks. The Inflation Model is up to three-and-a-half stars ("inflation danger").

This is a worrisome situation. Stocks had managed to just touch positive territory for the year, only to fall back. I keep hearing about the "green shoots" (the start of economic recovery) but Wall Street seems unconvinced.

Many things are indicating caution, so please approach any purchases with caution.

Tuesday, June 16, 2009

Stocks for June 15

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters for the week of Jun 15.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ARO 111199
CMG 11 199
FUQI111  99
GMCR1 1 199
HMSY111  99
NFLX 11 198
TXRH 11 198
APSG 11 197
BWLD 11 197
BKE11  196
TNDM111  96
DBRN 11 193
WMS 11 192
IBM 11 185


There are no new or old stocks for the core list this week.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
ARO9Earn 20-Aug
TNDM9 
HMSY7Earm 31-Jul
PNRA5Earn 28-Jul
NFLX6 
BWLD6Earn 28-Jul
CMG6 
GMCR6Earn 29-Jul
IBM6Earn 16-Jul

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The S&P 500 is again in a cautious Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model is down to three stars ("some inflation risk").

I do not understand why, but the S&P PE ratio according to Barrons more than doubled from 15.93 to 36.41. The Barrons data has been discontinuous before, but never had quite so large a jump. That jump above 17 was exactly countered by the S&P crossing over its 45 week average, which kept the indicator at a Yellow Light. All of the Inflation model change is due to XLF climbing above its figure from 6 months ago.

The Dow climbed into positive territory for the year, only to drop back below it on Monday and Tuesday. Oil is continuing to climb to its highest point this year.

Many things are indicating caution.

Monday, June 15, 2009

Stocks for June 8

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters for the week of Jun 8. As with last week, I'll keep my comments to a minimum.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ARO 111199
GMCR1 1 199
HMSY111  99
SYNA1  1199
CMG 11 198
TNDM111  97
TXRH 11 197
WMS 11 197
NFLX 11 196
BKE11  194
BWLD 11 194
DBRN 11 194
IBM 11 187


New to the core list are: GMCR, IBM, CMG, and BWLD. Green Mountain Coffee Roasters sells whole bean and ground coffee selections, hot cocoa, teas, and coffees. IBM employed yours truly from 1983 to 1996. Chipotle Mexican Grill has Mexican food restaurants in the US and Canada. Buffalo Wild Wings maintains restaurants in a similar vein.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
ARO8Earn 28-Jul
TNDM8 
HMSY7Earn 20-Aug
PNRA6 
NFLX6 
BWLD5 
CMG5 
GMCR5 
IBM5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The S&P 500 is again in a cautious Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model is back up to three stars ("inflation danger").

The next update is coming soon.

Have a good week trading.

Monday, June 8, 2009

Stocks for 1 Jun 09

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters for the week of Jun 1. This one is late and I'll keep the comments brief.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ARO 11 199
BWLD 11 199
CMG 11 199
GMCR1 1 199
NFLX 11 199
TNDM111  99
BKE11  198
HMSY111  98
TXRH 11 198
DBRN 11 197
WMS 11 196


NFLX is back on the core list.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
PNRA7Earn 28-Jul
HMSY7 
ARO7Earn 20-Aug
TNDM7 
NFLX5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The S&P 500 is again in a cautious Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model is back up to three stars ("inflation danger").

The next update is coming soon.

Have a good week trading.