Friday, December 21, 2007

Stocks for Christmas week

This is my first post on Blogspot. It looks like 360.yahoo.com is going through a sea change, and I have had some trouble getting technical support to answer my questions. So let my try some posts here and see how the blogs compare. I will cross post on my old blog as well.


Here are the stocks from the weekly list that passed at least three filters.







SymbolBB Zacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
ESRX111 1A+
FLS111 1A+
LIFC112 1A+
PCLN1 111A+
NOK111 1A
NOV111 1A
NVDA111 1A-
AAPL1 2 1A+
AMZN1 1 1A+
BOOM1 2 1A+
CF1 11 A+
CLB1 1 1A+
CNH1 1 1A+
DE1 1 1A+
GOOG1 2 1A+
ISRG1 11A+
JASO112 A+
MOS1 1 1A+
NDAQ1 1 1A+
OTEX111 A+
PCP1 1 1A+
SPWR1 1 1A+
VIP111 A+
VMI1 1 1A+
WFR111 A+
AG1 1 1A
BGC111 A
FLIR 11 1A
GRMN11 1A
PSEM111 A
SIGM11 1A
SLB1 1 1A
ACO1 1 1A-
FTI111 A-
MATK111 A-
WDC 11 1A-






There are three new stocks on the core list, ACO, FTI, and SIGM.


  • Amcol International Corp. (ACO) provides additives for detergents, skin care products, and
    cat litter.
  • FMC Technologies, Inc. (FTI) manufactures systems for offshore energy, airports, and foods.
  • Sigma Designs Inc. (SIGM) provides digital video products and web streaming.

EBAY and HANS are off the core list.


Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):



SymbolPassing weeks Earnings


AAPL
10

ESRX
10

LIFC
10

PCLN
10

PCP
10

SLB
10

MOS
10Earn 9-Jan

SYNA
9

GME
9

GOOG
9

ISRG
9

NOK
9

NOV
9

VIP
9

RIMM
8

CLB
8

CNH
8

VMI
8

BOOM
8

NDAQ
8

SPWR
8

KCI
7

SXE
7

PSEM
7

DO
6

LOGI
6Earn 17-Jan

NVDA
6

BGC
6

FLS
6

OTEX
6

ICLR
5

TISI
5

ACO
5

FTI
5

SIGM
5





IBD is now saying the rally is under pressure. Now that's more like it! I have noticed IBD's asymmetry when it comes to declaring a market bullish or bearish: it seems hard to get them to say the market is falling, and they switch quickly to the rally side. I wonder when they will stop calling a rally after a fall a follow-through day and start calling it a sucker's rally.


Mike R. sent me an article entitled "The Blow-up Artist," by John Cassidy in The New Yorker (October 15, 2007). Great story about Victor Niederhoffer, a famed speculator who had a dramatic undoing in 1997. He had an equally dramatic comeback. But judging by the emotional tone and his bias toward believing in a bullish market, he is in serious trouble now.



Taleb had something to say about Niederhoffer.

Niederhoffer's publicized hiccup came from his selling naked options based on his testing and assuming that what he saw in the past was an exact generalization about what could happen in the future. He relied on the statement "The market has never done this before," so he sold puts that made a small income if the statement was true and lost hugely in the event of it turning out to be wrong. When he blew up, close to a couple of decades of performance were overshadowed by a single event that only lasted a few minutes.


(Nassim Taleb, Fooled by Randomness p. 120)


I bought some CLB based on one of my favorite technical indicators. Note that it hit one of the local minima in late November (28Nov) and tested the low again on 18 Dec. However, the MACD rose from a bottom to a higher point. That is a classic bullish divergence.


Development on the lot continues unabated. We hit rock but were given a go-ahead by a soil engineer. You can read about it at chackobuild.blogspot.com



Have a Merry Christmas and trade well this week.

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