Sunday, January 25, 2009

Stocks for the week of Jan 26

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters, for the week of Jan 26.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
AIR 11 1A+
BCR 11 1A+
COCO 11 1A+
MANT 11 1A+
OTEX 11 1A+
PRGO 11 1A
ESRX 11 1A-


The core list remains the same as last week.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
BCR10 
MANT10 
COCO9 
CAI8Earn 28-Jan
AFAM7 
APOL7Earn 8-Jan
AMED6Earn 17-Feb
AXYS6 
CELG6Earn 29-Jan
VIVO6 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The Market remains Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. This is because the S&P P/E ratio remains below 17.0. The Inflation Model has moved modestly toward deflation, now at at negative one and a half inflation stars ("deflation").

The electrical inspector showed up Wednesday, as the Charlotte Mecklenburg offices keep them out of their trucks on snow days. He poked around the attic, was satisfied with John's implementation of the rules, and gave us a pass for electrical (final). We got our Certificate of Occupancy (CO) within an hour.

I tested the voltage at 5:00 on Sunday and it read 235 V DC. The inverter would not start putting out power on the grid, though, because it needed to detect grid activity. I'll give Duke a call this week and see about getting the second meter put in place.

Have fun trading this week.

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Stocks for the week of Jan 19

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters, for the week of Jan 19.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
BCR 11 1A+
CAI 11 1A+
MANT 11 1A+
COCO 11 1A+
AIR 11 1A
PRGO 11 1A
CELG 11 1A-


GWR is off the core list.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
BCR10 
MANT9 
CAI8Earn 28-Jan
COCO8 
AMED7Earn 17-Feb
APOL7Earn 8-Jan
AXYS7 
AFAM7 
CELG7Earn 29-Jan
VIVO6 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The Market remains Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. This is because the S&P P/E ratio has dropped below 17.0, to 15.32. The Inflation Model is close to toward neutral, remaining at negative one inflation star ("deflation").

I am home as I write this on Inaugration Day, because we had an inch of snow and Charlotte largely closes down as a result. My favorite event from the morning was hearing the arrangement of Simple Gifts by John Williams.

John finished the solar panel rewire last night. He called in the inspection for today, but I have seen no sign of the inspector. (The office might be closed for snow, as well.)

Have fun trading this week.

Monday, January 12, 2009

Stocks for the week of Jan 12

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters, for the week of Jan 12.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
AFAM1111 A+
COCO 11 1A+
MANT 11 1A+
VIVO 11 1A
BCR 11 1A
CAI 11 1A


The core list is in the same as last week.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
AMED8Earn 17-Feb
BCR8 
AXYS7 
APOL7Earn 8-Jan
MANT7 
CELG6Earn 29-Jan
AFAM6 
CAI6Earn 28-Jan
COCO6 
GWR5 
VIVO5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The Market has turned to Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. This is because the S&P P/E ratio has dropped below 17.0. (I read a good article from http://hussmanfunds.com about the changing duration of stocks and bonds. John Hussman thinks the market has moved from ridiculously overpriced to about right.) The Inflation Model is close to toward neutral, remaining at negative one inflation star ("deflation").

What am I looking at as far as stocks go? I'm not ready to jump in with both feet, and won't become a raging bull until the 1-2-3 model turns back to green. But I am taking a peek at some high-dividend-yielding stocks. There are some mining stocks and some energy stocks that are yielding safely in the double digits. Gold may be at a short-term high, but it seems to be in an uptrend. So that's where I'm doing my research: for stocks with a fat dividend and waiting for gold to put in a bullish divergence.

House work continues. John came by to help get some of the solar panels rewired to pass code. And I climbed up on the roof to change the terminus from PVC pipe to a steel "weatherhead," which is what the electrical inspector asked for.

Have fun trading this week.

Friday, January 9, 2009

Stocks for the week of 5 Jan 09

I hope you had a great Christmas and New Year. I'm back from the holidays and have moved into the new house. Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters, for the week of Jan 5. There are were no IBD supply/demand this week, because they publish the list on Thursdays, and last Thursday was New Year's. (There were no supply/demand stocks in previous weeks, so this will not have a great impact on the model.)

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
CELG111 1A+
AFAM111  A+
APOL 11 1A+
COCO 11 1A+
MANT 11 1A+
VIVO 11 1A+
BCR 11 1A
CAI 11 1A


There is one new stock on the core list, VIVO. Meridian Bioscience is a life sciences company that makes kits to diagnose diseases.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
CELG111 1A+
AFAM111  A+
APOL 11 1A+
COCO 11 1A+
MANT 11 1A+
VIVO 11 1A+
BCR 11 1A
CAI 11 1A

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model is tilting back toward neutral, and has moved to a negative one inflation star ("deflation"). It is moved to less-extreme deflation because the Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) index has slowed its descent.

We moved into the new house, thanks to the help of A LOT of kind people in our church. So it was a busman's holiday for me, installing a shower door, setting up beds, hanging artwork, installing a firewall, and learning how to wire up CAT 5. (BTW, use the 568-B scheme; it's much more common.)

Have fun trading this week.

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Stocks for the week of 15 Dec

These are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters, for the week of December 15. There are no IBD Top-ranked stocks this week, and only one IBD Supply/Demand stock (AMED).

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
AFAM 111 A+
AMED 11 1A+
APOL 11 1A+
COCO 11 1A+
VIVO 11 1A+
AXYS 11 1A
BCR 11 1A
MANT 11 1A


There is one new stock on the core list, COCO. Corinthian Colleges offers Associate's, Bachelor's, and Master's degrees in trades (like HVAC and plumbing), computers, and medicine.

ARO, EZPW, and PRGO are off the list.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
AMED10Earn 17-Feb
BCR7 
AXYS7 
CELG6Earn 29-Jan
MANT6 
APOL6Earn 8-Jan
AFAM5 
GWR5 
CAI5 
COCO5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has remains at a negative two inflation stars ("deflation").

A good performer for me has been shorting the discretionary retail sector, by buying puts. Consumers are putting themselves on a strict diet, so they're shopping less often at Target and more often at Wal Mart. (And buying fewer CDs and the same amount of frozen pizzas.)

Have fun trading this week. We passed final building inspection (3 of 4), so we have electrical still to go. The inspector wants to ask some questions about the photovoltaic system.

Friday, December 5, 2008

Stocks for the week of Dec 8

These are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters, for the week of December 8. What's unusal about this week is that we have neither IBD Top-ranked stocks nor IBD Supply/Demand stocks.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
APOL 11 1A+
AXYS 11 1A+
BCR 11 1A+
COCO 11 1A+
MANT 11 1A+
AMED 11 1A
CAI 11 1A
GWR 11 1A
VIVO 11 1A


Here are the new stocks on the core list:

  • GWR: Genesee & Wyoming, operates short line and regional freight railroads in the United States, Australia, and Canada.
  • CAI: CACI International is a Geek Squad for the United States government.
  • APOL: Think The University of Phoenix.
FLIR is off the list.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
AMED10 
CELG7Earn 29-Jan
MANT6 
AXYS6 
BCR6 
ARO5 
EZPW5 
PRGO5 
AFAM5 
GWR5 
CAI5 
APOL5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has remains at a negative two inflation stars ("deflation"). (When the S&P 500 Price/Earnings ratio dropped below 17 last week, I should have marked it as a yellow light. But now that it has risen above it, it is back to a red light.) I think this is because different companies on the S&P have lowered their earnings forecasts.

Have fun trading this week. We passed plumbing and mechanical inspections, so we have building and electrical to still go. I will be working on the deck railings this weekend.

Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Stocks for the week of 1 Dec

These are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters, for the week of December 1. This will be another short blog entry because there's a lot going on in the household now (we're trying to get a new house prepared so we can move in).

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
AFAM111  A+
MANT 11 1A+
APOL 11 1A+
AXYS 11 1A+
CELG1 1 1A
AMED 11 1A
RMD 11 1A
CAI 11 1A
COCO 11 1A
BCR 11 1A
VIVO 11 1A
GWR 11 1A-


BCR is new on the core list. C. R. Bard designs, manufactures, packages, and sells medical, surgical, diagnostic, and patient care devices worldwide. Its specialties are vascular, urology, and oncology.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
AMED10 
CELG8Earn 29-Jan
ARO6Earn 3-Dec
EZPW6 
PRGO6 
MANT6 
AFAM6 
FLIR5 
AXYS5 
BCR5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has remains at a negative two inflation stars ("deflation"). The S&P 500 Price/Earnings ratio briefly dropped below 17, but has since risen above it. I think this is because different companies on the S&P are dropping in their earnings forecast.

Have fun trading this week. I'm spending nights and weekends at the new house... so many things to do.