Thursday, March 26, 2009

Stocks for the week of 23 Mar

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters for the week of Mar 23.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
APOL 11 199
HMSY111  99
PNRA 11 199
CPSI 11 198
STRA 11 198
CELG 11 197
COCO 11 196
ORCL 11 194
RMD 11 193
BCR 11 191
MANT 11 191
CAI 11 185


There are no new stocks on the core list.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
BCR10 
COCO10 
CAI9 
CELG9 
MANT6 
CPSI7 
AIR5 
APOL6Earn 31-Mar
ESI5Earn 23-Apr
PNRA6Earn 28-Apr
RMD6 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The S&P 500 is again in a cautious Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model remians at a positive half star, indicating that a small amount of inflation is present.

This was a big week for me on the job front. Of note is that none of them are jobs that would show a continuity from the BoA job; however, they would all use my analysis skills. I would like to stay in roles that take advantage of the NT (iNtuitive Thinking) aspect of my personality.

This is what is brewing.

  • Mike is looking for a CFO.
  • Joseph is looking for a sales/marketing/programming guy.
  • Bob is looking for a TradeStation researcher.
  • Chuck and John are interested in something having to do with solar energy.
The verse that comes to mind is that God "...is able to do immeasurably more than all we ask or imagine..." (Eph 3:20) I feel that these job opportunities are more than I could have imagined.

Have fun trading this week.

Thursday, March 19, 2009

Stocks for the week of Mar 16

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters for the week of Mar 16.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
APOL 11 199
PNRA 11 199
STRA 11 198
CPSI 11 198
CELG 11 198
COCO 11 196
RMD 11 194
ORCL 11 194
BCR 11 191
CAI 11 191


RMD and PNRA are new to the core list. ResMed manufactures equipment for the diagnosis and treatment of sleep apnea and other respiratory disorders. Panera Bread is a chain of cafés that I have frequented and is at a mall near you.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
BCR10 
COCO10 
CAI9 
CELG8 
MANT6 
CPSI6 
AIR5 
APOL5 
ESI5 
PNRA5 
RMD5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The S&P 500 is again in a cautious Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has moved to a positive half star, indicating decreasing inflation.

I went to a "Changing Times" event sponsored by CPCC and several other employers. There were a lot of gray-haired folks in suits trying to pass out résumés, but I think the emphasis was on the basics: networking, writing a good résumé, starting a business as an entrepreneur. (I really wish they would spend as much time telling you what can go wrong as what could go right. I don't think the answer to entrepreneurship is to take more classes at CPCC and follow your heart, no matter what your friends tell you.)

I'm putting some currency trading models to more scrutiny this week, as I really believe my previous parenthetical statement. Don't tell me how much money this currency trade could make; tell me how much I could lose! TradeStation is bringing up some good models to the forefront that work with a number of different currency pairs. I'm researching the 15 minute timeframe.

It turns out that Interactive Brokers has an API to allow programs like TradeStation to enter orders. NinjaTrader will sell me the whole package for $995, but this is a buy-or-build decision that I will probably lean toward building. I'll let you know as I start on this API.

Have fun trading this week.

Monday, March 9, 2009

Stocks for March 9, 2009

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters for the week of Mar 9.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
APOL 11 199
STRA 11 199
RMD 11 198
PNRA 11 198
CPSI 11 198
COCO 11 197
CELG 11 195
ORCL 11 195
CAI 11 195
BCR 11 193
APSG 11 192


CPSI is new to the list. Computer Programs and Systems, Inc.— can you think of a more generic name than that? It is a healthcare IT company.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
BCR10 
COCO10 
CAI9 
CELG8 
MANT7 
AIR5 
APOL5 
ESI5 
CPSI5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The S&P 500 is again in a cautious Yellow Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. I am having some trouble reconciling two different pages on the Barrons website. I have been using http://online.barrons.com/mdc/public/page/9_3021-peyield.html for the S&P P/E yield. However, there is another site, http://online.barrons.com/public/page/9_0210-indexespeyields.html, which has wildly different numbers. For example, last week, the former said the S&P 500 P/E was 13.66, while the latter says 23.77. This is a very large discrepancy. The Inflation Model is unmoved at dead neutral, with zero inflation stars.

Ab Initio has decided not to interview me further, so no trips up to chilly Boston. The job with TIAA-CREF is on hold until later this week.

I read a paper called Terry's Tips that my friend Bill lent to me. It was all about short condors, diagonal spreads using leaps, and using theta to make some money every month. I will have to think about this a little, but it seems to be a good way to trade options if you have a better-than-average prediction for where the underlying will be at expiration. I will have some more information after I grill Bill.

Have fun trading this week.

Monday, March 2, 2009

Stocks for the week of 2 Mar 09

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters, for the week of Mar 2.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
APOL 11 199
ESI  11199
STRA 11 199
CELG 11 198
PNRA 11 198
COCO 11 197
CPSI 11 197
RMD 11 197
ORCL 11 196
BCR 11 195
CAI 11 195
AMED 11 191


ESI is back on the core list, after quite a long hiatus.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
BCR10 
COCO10 
MANT8Earn 25-Feb
CAI8 
CELG7 
AIR5 
AMED5 
APOL5 
ESI5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The S&P 500 is again in a cautious Yellow Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. While the S&P P/E ratio has risen to 13.66, it does tend to confirm that last week's extreme low was accurately reported. The Inflation Model has moved to the neutral mark, at zero inflation stars.

We had a surprising 5" of snow here in Charlotte. I also figured out how to hook up my digital to analog TV (DTV) adapter, and started working on my Elk security and home automation panel. So if you want to know where I'll be this week, it'll probably be in the Bat Cave (the network closet).

Have fun trading this week.

Monday, February 23, 2009

Stocks for the week of Feb 23

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters, for the week of Feb 23. There are no stocks that are passing four of five filters, so the ones that you see here have passed (the minimum) of three.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
APOL 11 199
ESI  11199
CELG 11 198
RMD 11 198
CPSI 11 197
PNRA 11 197
BCR 11 196
COCO 11 196
CAI 11 194
CNQR 11 186


VIVO has fallen off the core list, but AIR is appearing for the first time. AAR Corp is a member of the S&P Small Cap 600, and provides products and services for aircraft fleet operators, original equipment manufacturers, independent service providers, and the military.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
BCR10 
COCO10 
MANT9Earn 25-Feb
CAI8 
CELG6 
AMED5 
APOL5 
AIR5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The S&P 500 has dropped to previous lows, and is now in a cautious Yellow Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. (The S&P P/E ratio has moved from 23.08 to 10.54 in a week, which is extremely suspect in mind. But that is what is being reported at http://online.barrons.com/mdc/public/page/9_3021-peyield.html.) The Inflation Model has moved to the neutral mark, at zero inflation stars.

It seems to me that Mr. Market is skeptical that the new stimulus package is going to have its intended effect. I hope to remain cautiously optimistic.

Have fun trading this week.

Thursday, February 19, 2009

Stocks for the week of Feb 16

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters, for the week of Feb 16. There are no stocks that are passing four of five filters. I am now using the Investors.com beta version, which has changed the IBD Rank from a letter grade (A+, A, A-, etc.) to a numerical grade (1 to 99). My fifth filter, going forward, will be that a stock is rated at 80 or above, which I believe will be the top quintile.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
AMED 11 199
APOL 11 199
ESI  11199
CELG 11 198
COCO 11 198
MANT 11 198
CPSI 11 197
PNRA 11 197
RMD 11 197
BCR 11 196
AIR 11 195
CAI 11 194
CNQR 11 187


AFAM has dropped off the core list.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
BCR10 
COCO10 
MANT10Earn 25-Feb
CAI8 
AMED6 
CELG6 
VIVO5 
APOL5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model remins at a slightly inflationary stance, and is now at modestly inflationary at a positive one half inflation star ("decreasing inflation"). Interestingly, some of the economic headlines are indicating that wholesale inflation has taken a huge jump, which is not surprising given the volume of the givernment printing presses. (Yes, that was an intentional typo.)

People have been asking me, in various ways, how the stock downturn has affected me. (Besides losing a job in the financial sector?) My answer is that the 1-2-3 model gives me an overview of how much to invest in long stocks. My guideline is that while in Red Light mode, I will not invest more in longs than in shorts. That is, if I go long $1000, then I need to also short $1000 (either through stocks or puts). We have been in Red Light since I have begun tracking it in June (with the exception of 6 weeks of Yellow Light.

On a personal note, I was approached by a recruiter for Ab Initio, and they would seem to be the "best software company you've never heard of." They're based in Boston, but would have a lot of work in Charlotte.

Have fun trading this week.

Monday, February 16, 2009

Stocks for the week of 9 Feb

Here are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters, for the week of Feb 9.

SymbolTop RankedZacks PEG SuppDem VLIBD Stock checkup
BCR 11 1A+
CELG 11 1A+
COCO 11 1A+
CPSI 11 1A+
ESI  111A+
MANT 11 1A+
OTEX 11 1A+
AIR 11 1A
AMED 11 1A
CAI 11 1A


The core list remains the same as last week.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

SymbolPassing weeks Earnings
BCR10 
MANT10Earn 25-Feb
COCO10 
CAI8 
AMED6Earn 17-Feb
CELG6 
VIVO6 
AFAM5 
APOL5 

moving down this week
moving up this week
new this week

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has moved back to a slightly inflationary stance, and is now at modestly inflationary at a positive one half inflation star ("decreasing inflation").

Karen and I took Hannah to Covenant College in Lookout Mountain, GA, just over the Tennessee line. All were quite pleased with the college. Hannah got to stay with a student in the girl's dorm and attend classes the next day. Josh went along for the ride and had pizza for three days in a row in three different states. Almost heaven for a six year old.

Have fun trading this week.